Tahir Naqqash 🔺・@mtnaqqash・3 days
** 📊 MARKET BRIEF OCT 8**
🚨 **MARKET**
🔴 BTC **$82,769 (-1.33%)**
🔴 ETH **$2,554 (-2.02%)**
🔴 SOL **$114.64 (-2.94%)**
🔴 XRP **$1.408 (-3.49%)**
🟢 Brent **$103.3 (+2.44%)**
⚪ Gold **$4,124 (~flat)**
⚠️ **BIGGEST STORY — ETF OUTFLOWS**
🔴 BTC ETFs: **-$484.9M** — largest outflow since June 25
🔴 ETH ETFs: **-$160.9M** — **7th straight outflow**
📉 BTC October MTD now **-$163.3M**
Yesterday's “steady BTC ETF demand” thesis has weakened significantly. Thursday's ETF flow will be important to see if this was a one-day reaction or a broader risk reduction.
🛢️ **MACRO PRESSURE**
• Brent jumped above **$103** amid Iran escalation concerns
• US 10Y yield touched **5.36%**
• 30Y yield ~**5.71%**
• Fed minutes were hawkish; markets price roughly **78–80% odds of a December hike**
• 🔔 **$22B 30Y Treasury auction today**
🎯 **BTC LEVELS**
🟢 Support: **$82.15K → $82–83K → $81K → ~$78K**
🔴 Resistance: **$83.93K → $84.2K → $85.5K → $86.7–87K**
📉 **TOP MOVERS**
🔴 LINK **-4.48%**
🔴 LTC **-4.44%**
🔴 HYPE **-4.12%**
🔴 XRP **-3.49%**
🟢 TRX **+0.18%** — only gainer
🟡 BNB **-0.70%** — relative-strength leader
🧭 **SENTIMENT**
CMC Fear & Greed: **59 — Neutral**
Sentiment has fallen from Greed for a second consecutive day. TTC_October8_2026
📅 **WATCH**
💵 Oct 8 — 30Y Treasury auction
📊 Oct 9 — BTC/ETH weekly expiry
⚠️ Oct 10 — 10/10 crash anniversary
📈 Oct 14 — US CPI
🏦 Oct 27–28 — FOMC
🧠 **TTC TAKE:**
**BTC is now facing a much tougher setup: ETF demand has flipped negative, oil is above $103, and long-term yields remain elevated. $82K–83K is the immediate battleground. A weak 30Y auction + rising oil could trigger another leg lower; stabilization in oil/yields and renewed ETF inflows would be the first signs of relief.**
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We're putting together a new 30-Day Green Scout Grow Challenge, and right now we're looking for people who are interested in participating.
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Something new is growing. 👀🌱
#StayUshkee
Jason Desimone ⚔️・@jasonmdesimone・09/16/26
For those who choose to stay along for the ride, I salute you 🫡
Will be a fun one
Tahir Naqqash 🔺・@mtnaqqash・09/16/26
First and strongest scenario: Expecting one more low towards 74kish for the 4th leg to end, but staying above the EMA200 on the daily, and then starting the 5th leg... The 2nd scenario is that BTC bounce at 72k when the news is really bad... But thats very unlikely...
This week is not easy to trade because of the most important month for the FOMC decision today, going up and down, but next week it will be easymode again, where we will in that 5th leg... That's the 1st scenario I expect... So wait for that 2nd low around 74 initially and double confirmation... DYOR
